National Assembly for Wales election, 2007

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National Assembly for Wales election, 2007
All 60 seats to the National Assembly for Wales
May 3, 2007
Government Opposition
Leader Rhodri Morgan Ieuan Wyn Jones
Party Labour Plaid Cymru
Leader's seat Cardiff West Ynys Môn
Last election 30 seats, 75% 12 seats, 5.21%
Seats won 26 15
Seat change -3 +3
Popular vote 314,925 219,121
Percentage 43.3% 25.0%
Incumbent First Minister
Rhodri Morgan
Labour
First Minister-Elect
Rhodri Morgan
Labour

The 2007 National Assembly election was held on Thursday 3 May 2007 to elect members to the National Assembly for Wales. It was the third general election. On the same day local elections in England and Scotland, and the Scottish Parliament election took place. This election was preceded by the previous Assembly election in 2003.

The election saw Plaid Cymru make gains at the expense of Labour, although Labour remain the largest party in the Assembly, as they have since it began. Plaid have stated they will make a referendum on devolving further powers to the National Assembly a condition for a coalition.[1] icWales reported that senior civil servants before the election were preparing for three possible coalition administrations: Labour/Liberal Democrat, Labour/Plaid Cymru or Plaid Cymru/Liberal Democrat/Conservative.

Contents

[edit] Major parties

The Labour Party before the election had 29 seats, Plaid Cymru had 12, the Conservatives 11, the Liberal Democrats 6, Forward Wales 1, with 1 independent (Trish Law). Mrs Law won her seat at a 2006 by-election, the seat having been won by Labour in the 2003 election. The one Forward Wales Assembly Member was elected as an independent before forming the party. Otherwise, the standings represent the 2003 results.

[edit] Electoral method

In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.

[edit] Electoral results

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[edit] National vote

  • Overall turnout - 43.7%


[discuss] – [edit]
Welsh Assembly election, 2007
Parties Constituency
(First past the post)		 Regional
(Additional member system)		 Total seats
Votes  % +/− Seats +/− Votes  % +/− Seats +/− Total +/−  %
  Labour Party 314,925 32.2 -7.8 24 −5 288,954 29.6 -6.9 2 +2 26 −3 43.3
  Plaid Cymru 219,121 22.4 +1.2 7 +2 204,757 21.0 +2.3 8 +1 15 +3 25.0
  Conservative 218,730 22.4 +2.4 5 +4 209,153 21.4 +2.3 7 -3 12 +1 20.0
  Liberal Democrats 144,450 14.8 +0.6 3 0 114,500 11.7 -1.0 3 0 6 0 10.0
  Independent 29,699 1 0 9,350 1.0 0 0 1 0 1.7
  British National Party N/A N/A N/A 0 0 42,197 4.3 +4.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  UK Independence 18,047 1.8 -0.5 0 0 38,490 4.0 +0.5 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Green N/A N/A N/A 0 0 33,803 3.5 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Socialist Labour N/A N/A N/A 0 0 12,209 1.2 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Welsh Christian N/A N/A N/A 0 0 8,963 0.9 N/A 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Communist N/A N/A N/A 0 0 3,708 0.4 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Blaenau Gwent People's Voice 3,348 N/A 0 0 N/A N/A N/A 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Christian Peoples N/A N/A N/A 0 0 2,694 0.3 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Socialist Alternative N/A N/A N/A 0 0 1,865 0.2 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Respect N/A N/A N/A 0 0 1,792 0.2 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  English Democrats 1,867 N/A 0 0 1,655 0.2 N/A 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Veritas N/A N/A N/A 0 0 505 0.1 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Socialist Equality N/A N/A N/A 0 0 292 0.0 +0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0
  Total 40     20 60  

[edit] Forecasts

Predictions for the seat distribution following the election:

Forecast by Dates Lab Plaid Con LD other
Institute of Welsh Affairs[2] 2007-01-13 25 13 13 7 2
NOP/ITV[3] 2007-04-06 25 12 14 7 2
Western Mail[4] 2007-04-27 25 15 10 8 2

[edit] Constituency nominations

NB: candidates in BOLD text are the incumbent assembly members

Constituency Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru UKIP Others Result
Aberavon Daisy Meyland-Smith Brian Gibbons Claire Waller Linett Purcell Labour HOLD
Aberconwy new seat Dylan Jones-Evans Denise Idris Jones Euron Hughes Gareth Jones Plaid Cymru win
Alyn and Deeside Will Gallagher Carl Sargeant Paul Brighton Dafydd Passe William Crawford Labour HOLD
Arfon new seat Gerry Frobisher Martin Eaglestone Mel ab Owain Alun Ffred Jones Elwyn Williams Plaid Cymru win
Blaenau Gwent Bob Hayward Keren Bender Gareth Lewis Natasha Asghar Trish Law (Independent) Independent HOLD
Brecon and Radnorshire Suzy Davies Neil Stone Kirsty Williams Arwel Lloyd LibDem HOLD
Bridgend Emma Greenow Carwyn Jones Paul Warren Nick Thomas Labour HOLD
Caerphilly Richard Foley Jeff Cuthbert Huw Price Lindsay Whittle Ron Davies (Independent)[5] Labour HOLD
Cardiff Central Andrew Murphy Sue Lent Jenny Randerson Thomas Whitfield Frank Hughes LibDem HOLD
Cardiff North Jonathan Morgan Sophie Howe Ed Bridges Wyn Jones Sir Dai Llewellyn Conservative GAIN
Cardiff South and Penarth Karen Robson Lorraine Barrett Dominic Hannigan Jason Toby Labour HOLD
Cardiff West Craig Williams Rhodri Morgan Alison Goldworthy Neil McEvoy Labour HOLD
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Henrietta Hensher Kevin Madge Ian Walton Rhodri Glyn Thomas Plaid Cymru HOLD
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Angela Burns Christine Gwyther John Gossage John Dixon Conservative GAIN
Ceredigion Trefor Jones Linda Grace John Davies Elin Jones Dafydd Morgan (Independent) Plaid Cymru HOLD
Clwyd South John Bell Karen Sinclair Frank Biggs Nia Davies David W Rowlands Labour HOLD
Clwyd West Darren Millar Alun Pugh Simon Croft Phil Edwards Warwick Nicholson Conservative GAIN
Cynon Valley Neil John Christine Chapman Margaret Phelps Liz Walters Labour HOLD
Delyn Antoinette Sandbach Sandy Mewies Ian Matthews Meg Elis Derek Bigg Labour HOLD
Dwyfor Meirionnydd new seat Mike Wood David Phillips Steve Churchman Lord Elis-Thomas Plaid Cymru
Gower Byron Davies Edwina Hart Nick Tregoning Darren Price Alex Lewis Labour HOLD
Islwyn Paul Williams Irene James Mark Maguire Alan Pritchard Kevin Etheridge (Independent) Labour HOLD
Llanelli Andrew Morgan Catherine Thomas Jeremy Townsend Helen Mary Jones Plaid Cymru GAIN
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Giles Howard Huw Lewis Amy Kitcher Glyndwr Cennydd Jones Clive Tovay & Jeff Edwards (Independents) Labour HOLD
Monmouth Nick Ramsay Richard Clark Jacqui Sullivan Jonathan T Clark Ed Abrams (English Democrats) Conservative HOLD
Montgomeryshire Dan Munford Rachel Maycock Mick Bates David Thomas Bruce Lawson LibDem HOLD
Neath Andrew Silvertsen Gwenda Thomas Sheila Waye Alun Llewelyn Labour HOLD
Newport East Peter Fox John Griffiths Ed Townsend Trefor Puw Andrew Constantine (English Democrats)[6] Labour HOLD
Newport West Matthew Evans Rosemary Butler Nigel Flanagan Brian Hancock Mike Blundell (English Democrats)[7] & James Harris (Independent) Labour HOLD
Ogmore Norma Lloyd Nesling Janice Gregory Martin Plant Sian Caiach Labour HOLD
Pontypridd Janice Charles Jane Davidson Mike Powell Richard Rhys Grigg Labour HOLD
Preseli Pembrokeshire Paul Davies Tamsin Dunwoody Hywel Davies John Osmond Conservative GAIN
Rhondda Howard Parsons Leighton Andrews Karen Roberts Jill Evans Labour HOLD
Swansea East Bob Dowdle Valerie Lloyd Helen Ceri Clarke Danny Bowles Labour HOLD
Swansea West Harri Lloyd Davies Andrew Davies Peter May Ian Titherington Cllr Richard Lewis Labour HOLD
Torfaen Graham Smith Lynne Neagle Patrick Legge Rhys ab Elis Ian Williams (People's Voice) Labour HOLD
Vale of Clwyd Matt Wright Ann Jones Mark Young Mark Jones Labour HOLD
Vale of Glamorgan Gordon Kemp Jane Hutt Mark Hooper Barry Shaw Kevin Mahoney Labour HOLD
Wrexham Felicity Elphick Lesley Griffiths Bruce Roberts Siôn Aled Owen Peter Lewis John Marek (Independent) Labour GAIN
Ynys Môn James Roach Jonathan Austin Mandi Abrahams Ieuan Wyn Jones Francis Wykes Peter Rogers Plaid Cymru HOLD

[edit] Regional lists

This list is incomplete; you can help by expanding it.

[edit] Mid and West Wales

BNP Conservatives Green Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru UKIP
1. Ian Si'ree Nick Bourne Leila Kiersch Alun Davies Cllr. Bill Powell Nerys Evans Clive Easton
2. Chris Edwards-Harrill Glyn Davies Timothy John Foster Joyce Watson Julianna Hughes David Senior Nick Powell
3. Lloyd Thomas Morgan Lisa Francis Marilyn Elson Alun Wyn Richards Cllr. Ken Harris Delyth Richards Dennis Taylor
4. O. J. Williams John Jennings Rhiannon Stone Selwyn Runnett Liz Saville-Roberts Virginia Whinnyates
5. Richard Minshull Chris Simpson Dr. Parvaiz Ali Cllr. David Peter
6. Emma Hayes
7. Alexander Viol
  • RESULT: Labour - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Conservative - 1 seat

[edit] North Wales

BNP Conservatives Green Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru UKIP
1. Ennys Hughes Brynle Williams Jim Killock Kenneth Skates Eleanor Burnham Janet Ryder John Bufton
2. Dallus Weaver Mark Isherwood Joe Blakesley Donna Hutton Cllr. Tudor Jones Dafydd Wigley Nathan Gill
3. Simon Darby Cllr. Janet Finch-Saunders Maredudd ap Rheinallt Cllr. Ronnie Hughes Bobby Feeley Dyfed Edwards Elaine Gill
4. Mike Howard Paul Rogers Cllr. Wilf Hastings Wenna Williams Cllr. Douglas Madge Cllr. Abdul Khan Ken Khambatta
5. James Davies Cllr. Chris Hughes Cllr. Michael Edwards
6. John Broughton Anne Williams
  • RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat

[edit] South Wales Central

BNP Conservatives Green Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru The Socialist Alternative UKIP Socialist Equality Party (UK)
1. John Walker David Melding John Matthews Iftakhar Khan Cllr. John Dixon Leanne Wood Dave Reid John Pratt Chris Talbot
2. Vincent McKenzie Andrew Davies Richard Payne Cerys Furlong Cllr. Gavin Cox Chris Franks Rowena Mason David Bevan David O'Sullivan
3. Tim Windsor Victoria Green Nigel Baker Anthony Hunt Alexandra Macmillan Gwenllian Lansdown Andrew Price Dr K. T. Rajan Stuart Nolan
4. Mark Deacon Richard John Richard Clarke Jayne Brencher Cllr. Asghar Ali Mohammed Sarul Islam Jane Jackson William Potter Poopalasingham Thillaivarothayan
5. Mike Jones-Pritchard Anthony Matthews Matt Greenough Cllr. Margaret Jones Alex Gounelas
6. Jon Burns Elizabeth Ale Andrew Sherwood Joe Fathallah
  • RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 2 seats

[edit] South Wales East

BNP Conservatives English Democrats Green Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru UKIP
1. Robert James Trueman William Graham Steve Gash Ann Were Cllr. Mark Whitcutt Michael German Jocelyn Davies David J. Rowlands
2. Peter Greenhalgh Laura Anne Jones Alan England Alasdair McGowen Tunji Fahm Cllr. Veronica Watkins Mohammad Asghar Keith Morgan
3. Marlene Jordan Leigh Jeffes Fred Bishop Gerry Layton Julie Helen Robinson Cllr. Phylip Hobson Colin Mann Roger Thomas
4. Christopher Robinson David Chipp David Lane Owen Clarke John Wright Turner Alison Willott Glyn Erasmus Hugh Moelwyn Hughes
5. Andrew Roberts Steven Uncles Rhiannon Passmore Cllr. David Hando
6. Michael Russell Jean Gray
  • RESULT: Plaid Cymru - 2 seats; Conservative - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
  • Plaid Cymru's Mohammad Asghar is the first ethnic minority member of the Assembly.[9]

[edit] South Wales West

BNP Conservatives Green Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru The Socialist Alternative UKIP
1. Clive Bennett Alun Cairns Rhodri Griffiths Howard Davies Cllr. Peter Black Bethan Jenkins Ross Saunders Tim Jenkins
2. Nick Griffin Chris Smart Brig Oubridge Cllr. Alana Davies Cllr. Jackie Radford Dr. David Lloyd Alec Thraves Mike Squires
3. Tim Windsor Gerald Rowbottom Jane Richmond Cllr. Leighton Veale Frank Little Lisa Turnbull Ron Job Denise Robinson
4. Mark Deacon Kenneth Watts Jonathan Spink Cllr. Erika Kirchner Cllr. Mike Day Carolyn Edwards Lianne Francis Josie MacDonald
5. Bob Smith David Rees Cllr. Peter Foley Bernard Roome
6. Cllr. Norah Clarke Mark Evans
7. Rachael Hitchinson
8. Marilyn Harris

In South Wales West, there are also party lists from the Communist Party of Britain, Christian People's Alliance, RESPECT, Socialist Labour Party, Welsh Christian Party and two independents (Keith James and John Hudson Jenkins).

[edit] New members

Thirteen of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly; they include Gareth Jones, who sat in the Assembly from 1999 to 2003 but lost his seat in that election.

[edit] Defeated members

Nine sitting AMs were defeated at the polls.

[edit] Retiring members

Four sitting AMs did not offer themselves for re-election.

[edit] National election, 2003

 It has been suggested that National Assembly for Wales 2007 boundary changes be merged into this article or section. (Discuss)

Due to boundary changes the composition of the outgoing Assembly will not reflect the Assembly that was elected in May 2003 (see National Assembly for Wales constituencies and electoral regions). The main changes are in the North west of Wales where the constituencies of Conwy, Caernarfon, and Meirionydd nant Conwy are replaced by Aberconwy, Arfon and Dwyfor Meirionnydd.

Details on these boundary changes can be found at National Assembly 2007 Boundary Changes

[edit] Political media outlets

[edit] See also

[edit] Notes

  1. ^ Plaid to seek devolution referendum after election, icWales, 3 January 2007, accessed on 8 February 2007.
  2. ^ Labour set to lose out in May's WAG vote, icWales, 2007-01-13, accessed on 2007-01-17.
  3. ^ [1], icWales, 2007-04-06, accessed on 2007-04-08
  4. ^ [2], icWales, 2007-04-27, accessed on 2007-04-27
  5. ^ Davies to contest assembly seat, BBC News, 5 February 2007, accessed 8 February 2007.
  6. ^ English Democrats Party:: News blog
  7. ^ English Democrats Party:: News blog
  8. ^ Portail d'informations Ce site est en vente!
  9. ^ BBC NEWS | Wales | First ethnic minority AM elected

[edit] External links

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