User:Pilover819/06012008
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List of Tropical Waves/Tropical Cyclones of June 2008 Picture of the remnants of Tropical Storm Arthur
May: 1
- Tropical Wave Number 6- May 21~June 1
- Tropical Wave Number 7- May 25~Active
- Tropical Wave Number 8- May 28~Active
- Tropical Wave Number 9- May 31~Active
- Tropical Storm Arthur- May 31~June 2
Contents |
[edit] June 1, 2008
[edit] June 1, 2008 0000 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 88.9W OR ABOUT 75 MILES NW OF BELIZE CITY AT 31/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE STORM CENTER IS INLAND HOWEVER BANDS OF CONVECTION ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 85W-93W...AND FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 81W-83W. ARTHUR MAY WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER LAND BUT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE SRN BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT MAY RETAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20W S OF 14N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. MIMIC-TPW CLEARLY SHOWS THE WAVE AXIS AND A MID LEVEL ROTATION IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR 7N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED WAVE AXIS WITH A BROAD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-50W...AND FROM EQ-2N BETWEEN 39W-44W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 58W S OF 12N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE HAS A WELL-DEFINED INVERTED-V SATELLITE SIGNATURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 2N-7N.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 83W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED BENEATH A BROAD UPPER RIDGE AND AN ABUNDANCE OF UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE CARIBBEAN MASKING ANY SIGNATURE. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOTED.
[edit] June 1, 2008 0600 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS CENTERED INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 18.4N 89.8W ABOUT 96 NM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AT 01/0600 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS INLAND THE HEAVIEST WEATHER IS OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND OVER S MEXICO. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 19N INLAND OVER HONDURAS AND W OF 85W TO THE COAST OF BELIZE. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS INLAND OVER S MEXICO AND IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 20N BETWEEN 91W-95W. OUTER BANDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO GUATEMALA AND IN THE CARIBBEAN N OF 17N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES W OF HISPANIOLA AND INTO THE SE GULF OF MEXICO S OF 24N THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W-87W. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 22W/23W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE ON THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH A MID LEVEL ROTATION ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE TRAILING THE WAVE AXIS WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE FROM 1N15W TO 9N19W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 47W S OF 14N MOVING W 15-20 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED WAVE AXIS WITH A BROAD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SMALL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 42W-53W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 59W S OF 11N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON MIMIC-TPW IMAGERY. THE WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED CONVECTION S OF 6N TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA BETWEEN 55W-59W.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 84W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION. THIS WAVE IS BEING ABSORBED AND INTERACTING WITH TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR AND WILL PROBABLY BE DROPPED FROM THE ANALYSIS AT 01/0600 UTC.
[edit] June 1, 2008 1200 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS CENTERED INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 18.2N 90.3W ABOUT 100 NM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AT 01/1200 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION REMAINS INLAND THE HEAVIEST WEATHER IS S OF THE CENTER FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS TO OVER S MEXICO. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N TO INLAND OVER HONDURAS AND W OF 84W ACROSS BELIZE... GUATEMALA...AND S MEXICO TO 96W INCLUDING THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 19N. OUTER BANDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE GREATER ANTILLES FROM THE E TIP OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE... GUATEMALA...AND SE MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TODAY.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23W/24W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE ON THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH A MID LEVEL ROTATION ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE E OF THE WAVE FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 18W-22W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W S OF 14N MOVING W 15-20 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED WAVE AXIS WITH A BROAD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. NUMEROUS SMALL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N TO S OF THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 45W-54W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W S OF 11N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON MIMIC-TPW IMAGERY. THE WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN 57W-61W.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN THAT WAS ALONG 84W HAS BEEN DROPPED.
[edit] June 1, 2008 1800 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
ARTHUR HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AS IT CONTINUES TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF LAND. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR IS CENTERED OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18.1N 90.7W ABOUT 110 NM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AT 01/1500 UTC MOVING WSW AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE SHIELD OF DENSE CLOUDINESS OVER GUATEMALA...BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NEARBY WATERS. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS (LIKELY THE HEAVIEST RAINS) AT THE MOMENT ARE OVER BELIZE...THE E PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE NW CARIBBEAN WATERS. HOWEVER...EVEN THE LOWER TOPPED CLOUDS ARE PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AS CONFIRMED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-10 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. AS ALWAYS IN THESE CASES...FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 25W FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SOUTHWARD. WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 10N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE...CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY WITHIN THE ITCZ.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...MAINLY SCATTERED MODERATE IN NATURE...WITH THE MOST ORGANIZED ACTIVITY STAGGERED WITHIN 240 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS S OF 11N BY E/SE SHEAR. CONVECTION ALSO APPEARS ENHANCED ALONG AND TO THE E OF THE WAVE AXIS WITHIN THE ITCZ. THIS WAVE...AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE...WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IN THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS.
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER E VENEZUELA ALONG 62W S OF 12N MOVING W 15 KT. THE MIMIC TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK SYSTEM. WHILE MOST OF THIS WAVE IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA...THERE COULD BE SOME INFLUENCE OVER TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO AS NOTED IN SFC OBS. DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL.
[edit] June 2, 2008
[edit] June 2, 2008 0000 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR IS CENTERED OVER S MEXICO NEAR 17.7N 91.1W OR NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN GUATEMALA AND MEXICO ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO AT 01/2100 UTC MOVING WSW AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. PRESENTLY BELIZE...NRN GUATEMALA...AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAINS. PATCHES OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 86W-93W. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-10 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. AS ALWAYS IN THESE CASES...FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 27W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 10N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE... CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY WITHIN THE ITCZ.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 51W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 2N-11N BETWEEN 49W-55W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER E VENEZUELA ALONG 62W/63W S OF 12N MOVING W 15 KT. THE MIMIC TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK SYSTEM. WHILE MOST OF THIS WAVE IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA...THERE COULD BE SOME INFLUENCE OVER TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO AS NOTED IN SFC OBS. DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL.
[edit] June 2, 2008 0600 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR IS CENTERED OVER S MEXICO NEAR 17.4N 91.3W OR NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BORDER BETWEEN GUATEMALA AND MEXICO ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO AT 02/0300 UTC MOVING SW AT 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. PRESENTLY BELIZE...NRN GUATEMALA...AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 86W-94W. ARTHUR AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. AS ALWAYS IN THESE CASES...THE RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS WITH A FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE ON THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION AND WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 9N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE...CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE HAS MAINTAINED A FAIR AMOUNT OF AMPLITUDE ACCORDING TO THE TPW-ANIMATION OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 51W-57W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63W S OF 11N MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE REMAINS INLAND ACROSS E VENEZUELA WITH ONLY A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME EVIDENT ON THE TPW-ANIMATION. MOST CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED ACROSS SE VENEZUELA AND IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA.
