Talk:Mersenne conjectures

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This sentence makes no sense to me: "However, according to Robert D. Silverman, John Selfridge agreed that the New Mersenne conjecture is "obviously true" as it was chosen to fit the known data and counter-examples beyond those cases are exceedingly unlikely. It may be regarded more as a curious observation than as an open question in need of proving." How can it be "obviously true" if people can't figure out how to prove it? That's like saying the twin prime conjecture is "obviously true" because for 99.9% of the twin primes we've found, there is a larger pair.