User:Kizzle/smoke/vote suppression/kb

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[edit] Issues - KBaas

  • KB, Keep in mind for example I don't know half of the stuff that you're talking about, remember to target it to someone who is not familliar with any of these events :).


  • Theory of law? -consistent, unambiguous
  • Voting process overview
  • Brief outline of voting laws

[edit] A guide to voting in Ohio, America

Note: Whenever possible, ask "who was affected" and show a pie chart. Whenever possible, ask "how should it change (this year)?", "who is responsible?", and "how did it change?" If possible, after who is responsible, attribute to them (possible quote, such as "active voters", and show what that looks like on a graph, then show how it really looks (how it did change)
Another possible question to ask often: "Is this legal?" "No." "(Duh.)"
Reporting questions: who what when how why where'
"If you are a __, you are __% more likely to ___." "___ were ___ times as likely as __ to ___." (like a commercial for an over-the-counter drug)
  • addendum: was the democratic get-out-the-vote effort effective?
show long lines (what does it look like?)
show long lines graph and/or map (rep-dem) (and yes, those are democrats.)
show voter turnout graph? (rep-dem)

Then what happened? Let's go through this one step at a time...

Law changes
Ballots being discarded (same guy from nevada)
Ballots not being put in database (new this year)
In cuyahoga, over 10k
Lawsuit re. ballots being put in database - little or no avail (source: I think this can be found on [1])
What will happen when a voter who's registration was not properly filed goes to vote? :provisional ballot
what percentage of these quasi-registered voters will get out to vote?: voter turnout percentage.
Voter registration growth scatter plot by %rep<->%dem
compare with voter turnout growth scatter plot, and turnout per reg. graphs(I can make also make graphs) Kevin Baastalk 21:03, 2005 Feb 17 (UTC)
registration and get out the vote efforts, from washington post article (cited in suppression article under reg. graph)
History
lost in delivery to voter, or not recieved by vote date
lost in delivery from voter
couldn't vote provisional
  • Going to vote
precincts (the big squeeze) 1, [2]
what are precincts?
how are they alloted?
why?
avg. voters per precinct (~800 in ohio (therefore, ~8 machines per precinct. pretty f*cking simple, don't you think?)) -avg. calculated from offficial records taken from elections office website. I have the excel file. variance is pretty small.
what happens when the pop density changes?
who is responsible for making the adjustment?
how did the population change this time?
how should the precincts have been changed?
how were they changed?
who was affected?
given wrong date to vote (up one or down one?)
who was affected?
finding my precinct - what if i don't know it?
What do the receptionist do (go thru process - show how reliable it is; you have to intentionally mislead)
precinct misdirection
how much?
where?
who was affected?
  • When you get there
    • Do I get a ballot (machine) to vote on?
answer: maybe... (pie chart)
...it depends (pie chart per demographic (ethnicity?))
what is the law?
law: 100 voters per machine, 125 max
Why does this law exist?
go into detail, mathematically, be meticulous:
rate at which machine processes votes, how many people in one day, thus voters per machine.
why max? going over limit means no vote
with this formula, there shouldnt' be long lines.
who adjusts it?
how should it be adjusted?
how was it adjusted?
Poll Workers expecting more machines, there were less then last election -source: EIRS
long lines
can we get a fox news clip? that would rock!
nearby, peace... (show republican district) (-source: congressional hearing on 8th, as reported by freepress.org, also GIS map shows correlation of demographics, available in suppression article, also graph shows correlation of voting rep-dem, which correlates to demographic)
how many voters left?
1 in 5 leaving, witnesses. (-source: EIRS, possibly hearings, too.)
Why?
people being called into work, or get fired
vehicles being towed
nearby, peace... (show republican district)
poll workers calling in { -source: this is from voteprotect.org (EIRS) reports and/or ohio hearings (congressional, franklin county, 8th, feels most right) }
we'll get to it...
we'll get to it...
no. (order from blackwell)
Nader, lawsuit on election day: way to alleviate lines? source: nov 2. suit in the timeline article. also at [3]? in any case, in moss v. bush article there's a link to the ohio supreme court records database)
Damshroder: no.
show unused voting machines sitting in warehouse. (source: newspaper articles in timeline, freepress.org, prob. some other websites)
show & cite newspaper reporting it
Show how graph for franklin should look.
Show how graph for franklin does look.
blackwell "not registered voters, active voters"
why? (purported reason)
graph for franklin (w/ "active" voters)
show how it should look
show how it does look: yes, it looks like "active" voters is part of the formula: most likely, a cofactor on "%voting republican"
do statistical regression, to find formula. show variance, that it is statistically called a "good fit". (much better than... show variance for null hyp.)
do math on graph - wow, 1 in 5 leaving!
show map of franklin county, machine distr. I think needs to be made from data available at freepress.org
"now let's zoom out a little bit" - zoom to map of state, machine distr. needs to be made from data available at freepress.org
show graph per county, statewide.
show unused voting machines.
calculate statewide from available data, if 100 machines per voter.
    • Will the machines work? - Broken machines answer: maybe. it depends...
Where?
broken machines per machine, by rep-dem. EIRS, compiled, i think there's a GIS map of this, see the article
Will the machines be repaired? (answer: no.) -EIRS, also possibly hearings
    • How will I be treated? - Voter intimidation answer: it depends...
was there intimidation?
show video -link in article, main article i think
    • What will I vote on? answer: it depends...
problems with voting machines - opt., electronic, punch.
allocation of type
graph showing correlation of demographics to technology
punch cards being saturated - show graph.
punch cards being saturated - show map in suppression article - ballot spoilage.
    • How will I vote? : answer: you will vote for george w. bush
electronic voting machines registering vote wrong
show voteprotect report (dem:88-rep:2) source: [4]
history - include HAVA.
prov. ballot rule changes (pre-election) - bday, envelope
voting wrong precint (even if right polling place) - vote not counted
lawsuit
field not required not filled out, ballot not counted.
no absentee ballot recieved? too bad.
Provisional ballots per total ballots by %rep<->%dem
Provisional ballots->uncounted prov. ballots per total ballots by %rep<->%dem
after election, counting provisional -
abnormally high number of unregistered
grade school math: 10k reg. not entered into database * 70% turnout = # "unregistered"
lawsuit re. prov. ballots - compare w/ reg. card if not in database. - no avail
show breakdown of reason prov. thrown out. (highest is not unregistered), cite source, narrate.
blackwell: "highest number prov. thrown out were unregistered"